Potrzeba subskrypcji, wiec zacytuje co ciekawsze:
War Plan for Iraq Largely in Place
Quick, Simultaneous Attacks on Ground and From Air Envisioned
By Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, March 2, 2003; Page A01
Army Gen. Tommy R. Franks, the chief of U.S. military operations in
the Middle East, sat down in the Persian Gulf state of Qatar last week
and reviewed the plan with his top Army, Navy, Marine, Air Force and
Special Operations commanders. The conclusion of the top secret
session, said a U.S. official based in the region, was that everything
is ready once President Bush gives the order.
[...]
The framework that has emerged calls for a war that would be
remarkably different from anything the U.S. military has done. It aims
to combine the armored fist of the tank-heavy 1991 Persian Gulf War
with the speed of the overnight 1989 U.S. takeover of Panama and the
precision bombing of the 2001 U.S. campaign in Afghanistan.
One sign of the innovative nature of the plan is that, without
much public notice, its first phase is already underway. Special
Operations troops are executing missions inside Iraq to prepare the
way for later attacks. U.S. and British warplanes ostensibly enforcing
the "no-fly" zones in northern and southern Iraq have increased the
number and intensity of airstrikes, and recently expanded their list
of targets to include Iraqi surface-to-surface missiles. They were
attacked, defense officials said, not because they were in the
"no-fly" zones and threatened U.S. aircraft but because they were in
range of U.S. troops mustering just over the border in Kuwait.
"We've already got a lot of stuff underway -- the air campaign,
psychological operations, Special Ops," said Robert Andrews, a former
Pentagon official who oversaw Special Operations activities.
The formal onset of the war, if Bush gives the go-ahead, is
expected to begin with three nearly simultaneous moves. That is
a sharp contrast to the sequential nature of the Gulf War, in which
the ground war only began after five weeks of bombing.
On the ground, tanks, Bradley Fighting Vehicles and Apache
attack helicopters will charge north into Iraq from Kuwait. Most
Army units will be on the west, heading northward toward the Euphrates
River, while the Marine Corps and British forces will jump off farther
to the east and move up alongside Iraq's southern marshes around the
southern city of Basra.
In the north, the U.S. military also plans to launch some kind
of offensive, though the continued foot-dragging by the Turkish
government could impede the execution of the attack envisioned by the
plan. Planners think the minimum U.S. force needed in the north to
create a second front is about one division, plus some specialized
reinforcements, for a total of about 20,000 troops. While some troops
and gear can be flown into airstrips in Kurdish areas in the north,
getting a force that size into Iraq by air would be a logistical
nightmare.
[...]
The pace of Special Operations forces will also be stepped up.
Their main focus will be denying Iraqi forces access to certain
chemical and biological weapons sites that cannot be bombed for fear
of setting up toxic plumes, according to people familiar with their
missions and training. Preventing Iraq from launching drones or
missiles against Israel will be another major focus of Special
Operations troops and other units. Some Special Operations personnel
may be ordered to protect key points in Iraq's oil fields to prevent
any Iraqi attempt to set them afire.
At the same time, the air campaign will begin with a thunderous
volley of strikes by aircraft and missiles. These will be aimed first
at eliminating Iraq's antiaircraft emplacements, which have been
concentrated around Baghdad, and also at hitting military
communications systems and presidential palaces. Pentagon sources said
they expect that more targets will be struck in Baghdad on the first
night of the campaign than were hit in the Iraqi capital during the
entire Gulf War, when about 330 bombs and missiles hit the city. In
contrast to the 1991 war, when nine out of 10 bombs were unguided
"dumb" bombs, nine out of 10 to be used in the new campaign would be
precision-guided munitions.
Paradoxically, the air campaign promises to be as narrowly aimed
as it is ferocious. Most of the airstrikes will focus on "regime
change targets -- weapons of mass destruction, command and control,
and palaces," said retired Air Force Lt. Gen. Thomas McInerney.
Infrastructure such as electrical plants will not be hit, said people
familiar with the planning.
A major reason is that the Bush administration is already making
plans to oversee Iraq's reconstruction if President Saddam Hussein and
his government are removed. Unlike in the Gulf War, said former Navy
secretary Richard Danzig, "[w]e know we have to repair whatever we
bomb."
The war plan even calls for sparing the Iraqi military, if it
doesn't fight. Some leaflets being dropped by U.S. planes on Iraqi
military installations urge troops, "Leave now and go home -- Watch
your children learn, grow and prosper." Others dropped yesterday
warned against using chemical or biological weapons, asserting, under
an image of a satellite, "We can see everything. . . . Unit commanders
will be held accountable for non-compliance." Bush has vowed to
prosecute Iraqi leaders for possible war crimes if they use weapons of
mass destruction.
Other military leaflets and radio broadcasts are telling
civilians that they will not be targeted.
[...]
With the bombing of Baghdad in full force, thousands of U.S.
tanks and trucks will race toward the capital from Kuwait and Turkey.
Military experts said they do not expect much fighting along the way.
"I'm fairly confident they [U.S. forces] won't encounter much
resistance" until they reach the outskirts of the capital, said
Michael Vickers, a former Army officer who now frequently consults
with the Pentagon.
One reason for that optimism is that Iraqi forces learned during
the Gulf War that if they mass in the desert, they make a fat target
for U.S. bombers. Yet if they spread out, they can be easily
overwhelmed by U.S. ground and air attacks in which they would be
heavily outgunned and outnumbered.
The major war event in the south, said several people briefed on
the plan, is likely to be a no-holds-barred assault on the Republican
Guard division based in southern Iraq. That unit will be given a
chance to surrender, but if it tries to fight, it will be hit with a
barrage of bombs and missiles, followed by an artillery shelling and a
tank attack.
"They want to make an object lesson" of a major Iraqi unit, said
one of the people familiar with this aspect of the plan. "There's an
attitude that if there is a division that wants to fight, they will
wipe it from the face of the Earth, and just make it a crushing
lesson." The thinking behind this, he said, is "hit them hard, let
that be an example and encourage the rest to stay in their barracks."
While such a pounding at the outset of the war may evoke
memories of the "Highway of Death," the carnage of bombed Iraqi units
as they fled north from Kuwait at the end of the Gulf War, those
familiar with this aspect of the plan said Franks and his commanders
are determined to get the fighting over with as quickly as possible.
"There will be a very high premium on a very quick resolution, even if
it gets a bit bloody," said one person involved in high-level Pentagon
reviews of some aspects of the war plan. "That works a lot better than
a long period of even small violence to noncombatants."
As U.S. forces move toward Baghdad, noted retired Marine Lt.
Gen. Paul Van Riper, the major issue confronting them may be
logistical. U.S. armored units require tens of thousands of gallons of
fuel and water daily.
[...]
While the Army and some Marines will move north, the British
will split off to occupy Basra and the oil fields near it, said people
familiar with the plan.
Although there remains considerable concern about the prospect
of U.S. forces getting bogged down in urban warfare in Baghdad, even
here there is surprising optimism among military officials and
analysts. Some think the Iraqi government will fall well before U.S.
forces reach the capital.
Even if there is some organized resistance in the capital, said
Anderson, it isn't likely to be effective. If Iraqi forces seek to
survive by dispersing in the city, they will be able to inflict
casualties by sniping but won't be able to stop U.S. military
progress, he said. And if they mass in buildings, the buildings will
be destroyed.
Said McInerney: "There isn't going to be a large urban battle."